Two of the most important words of the 2008 Presidential election are used to describe Florida, Ohio, and Virginia. Those words are: Swing State. These three states are among the most pivotal in this election for two main reasons.
1) Traditionally, Florida, Ohio, and Virginia vote Republican. However, this year all three of the states are showing signs that they might vote Democratic. Because of their past decisions in the previous elections, both parties are fighting hard to win these states.
2) Florida, Ohio, and Virginia have tons of electoral votes. Florida has 27. Ohio has 20. Virginia has 13. Most of the states have fewer than 10. The massive amount of electoral college votes these states have make them key states for the election. Which ever one of the candidates wins at least two of these states will have a strong lead over the other presidential nominee.
If I had to make a prediction on who would win two of the states right now, I would have to say that I believe that Obama will win Ohio and Virginia.
Ohio has Democrats in both the Senate and as their Governor. Right now, polls show Obama with a slight lead over McCain in this battleground state. I think that Obama will be able to hold his lead up through the election.
Virginia is a slightly different story. Recently, Virginia has been leaning more and more Democratic, which is surprising due to the state's Republican history. Northern Virginia is at the forefront of this political shift, leading the rest of the state in its Democratic ideals. The last factor that makes me believe that Virginia will vote Democratic has to due with who is running for the State's Senate seat, Mark Warner. I believe that his popularity will have a positive impact on the Presidential race for his fellow Democrats.
Senior Reflection 4
15 years ago
3 comments:
Hey Josh! I totally agree with you. Mark Warner's popularity is so wide and well known. My current event this week showed how he's been thirty points ahead of Gilmore since this time last year. In this situation. I have feeling this will cause people to vote straight-ticket in VA. Still, the presidential candidate don't need us as much as they need Florida, like you said. It will be interesting to see who gets what. For now, it seems like Obama is going to take them all. Cool blog!
I think you're making some fine predictions there. I also believe that Obama will win both of these states, and there may even be a chance for Obama to win Florida. However, there really is no clear-cut winner just yet as recent polls show that yet again the gap is tightening up.
Hey hey. I am so hoping that Va goes democrat this time, which i am counting on because all of those phone calls we had to make at the office place. The people who actually talked to me were totally Obama supporters--but maybe thats why they agreed to talk to me.
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